thaicables – It's Your Right to know the Truth!

06BANGKOK1947 RESPONSE TO APRIL 2 ELECTIONS

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“58884”,”3/31/2006 11:04″,”06BANGKOK1947″,

 

“Embassy Bangkok”,”CONFIDENTIAL”,””,”VZCZCXRO8577

OO RUEHCHI RUEHDT RUEHHM

DE RUEHBK #1947 0901104

ZNY CCCCC ZZH

O 311104Z MAR 06

FM AMEMBASSY BANGKOK

TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 7600

INFO RUEHZS/ASSOCIATION OF SOUTHEAST ASIAN NATIONS

RHEFDIA/DIA WASHDC

RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI

RHHMUNA/CDR USPACOM HONOLULU HI

RHFJSCC/COMMARFORPAC”,”C O N F I D E N T I A L BANGKOK 001947

 

SIPDIS

 

SIPDIS

 

E.O. 12958: DECL: 03/30/2016

TAGS: PGOV, PHUM, TH

SUBJECT: RESPONSE TO APRIL 2 ELECTIONS

 

Classified By: Ambassador Ralph L. Boyce reason 1.4 (b) (d)

 

1. (C) The USG should refrain from comment on the April 2

elections that could be used by either side to boost their

competing claims. These elections are only one step in a

complicated political contest that has been unfolding in

recent weeks, and which will not be decided by the poll

results alone. After the vote, each side will do its utmost

to spin the results — which are likely to be inconclusive at

best — to its advantage. PM Thaksin may consider whether to

step down, thus perhaps defusing further crises, or he may

attempt to stay on and plow ahead with plans to govern with a

one-party parliament. Any public statement we make runs a

serious risk of being used in ways we would not want.

 

2. (C) Beyond these political issues, there are several

looming problems with the election process that will make it

difficult to render a positive assessment in the near future:

 

— In order to undermine the boycott by the main opposition

parties, several little-known parties submitted fraudulent

candidate registrations. There are serious and unresolved

accusations that the members of the ruling Thai Rak Thai

(TRT) and the Election Commission colluded in this fraud.

 

— There will be no systematic monitoring of any kind on

April 2. The opposition parties are not running, so they

cannot have agents in the polling places. Poll Watch, the

respected independent poll monitoring NGO, is also

boycotting.

 

3. (C) Under these circumstances, we are highly unlikely to

be in a position to make an objective assessment of the

fairness of the vote right after April 2. At a minimum, it

would be inappropriate to comment on the election while the

various claims of fraud are being considered — a process

that is likely to take weeks.

 

4. (C) We are consulting with other embassies to determine

their position on post-election statements or anticipated

letters of congratulation to the PM. So far, most have

expressed reservations about making any public statement,

especially immediately after the election (Japan, Australia,

EU). They all recognize the risk of being drawn into the

middle of the debate, and having any official statement

misused by one side or the other. Among the embassies with

which we have consulted, only the Canadians seem inclined to

send a letter of congratulations.

 

5. (SBU) We propose the following guidance:

 

— We note that elections took place in Thailand on April 2.

 

— There are still a number of issues to be resolved in these

elections, including allegations of fraud and constitutional

questions.

 

— We believe that it would be inappropriate to comment until

these issues have been settled according to Thai law.

 

— We would urge the Election Commission and all Thai

authorities to work to resolve any allegations fairly.

 

If there is any violence, we would add:

 

— We are particularly concerned by reports of violence in

some locations. We urge the government to ensure that

everyone expressing political views peacefully can do so

without fear of intimidation or violence.

 

BOYCE

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Written by thaicables

July 10, 2011 at 5:46 am

Posted in Confidential, Election

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