thaicables – It's Your Right to know the Truth!

06BANGKOK3180 DAS ERIC JOHN MEETS THAKSIN’S ORACLE

leave a comment »

“65531”,”5/26/2006 1:51″,”06BANGKOK3180″,

 

“Embassy Bangkok”,”CONFIDENTIAL”,””,

“This record is a partial extract of the original cable.

The full text of the original cable is not available.

 

260151Z May 06

“,”C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF 02 BANGKOK 003180

 

SIPDIS

 

SIPDIS

 

E.O. 12958: DECL: 05/26/2016

TAGS: PGOV, PHUM, TH, Thai Political Updates

SUBJECT: DAS ERIC JOHN MEETS THAKSIN,S ORACLE

 

Classified By: Ambassador Ralph L. Boyce for reason 1.4(d)

 

1. (C) SUMMARY. On May 22, EAP/DAS Eric John and the

Ambassador visited caretaker Prime Minister Thaksin,s chief

political advisor, Pansak Vinyaratn. Pansak railed against

the Thai courts for their decision to annul the April

elections. Pansak suggested that it was time for the USG to

make a public statement on its position with regard to the

current state of democracy in Thailand. He accused a small

cabal of advisors in the palace of twisting the King,s words

to force Thaksin,s resignation. He said that Thaksin

resumed his duties as caretaker Prime Minister this week

primarily to ensure that the Thai economy remains stable – a

matter of strong personal interest to Thaksin. He maintained

that Thaksin will campaign as a Thai Rak Thai party member in

the upcoming election. END SUMMARY.

 

THE LAW IS AN ASS

—————–

 

2. (C) On May 22, EAP/DAS Eric John and the Ambassador

visited caretaker Prime Minister Thaksin,s chief political

advisor, Pansak Vinyaratn. In his colorful, often poetic

fashion, Pansak blasted the Thai courts for their decision to

annul April,s parliamentary elections. His criticism

focused mainly on the court,s justification for its ruling.

\”If you want to do bad things\” he said, \”you must do them

with a sense of style. If you don,t, the serfs won\’t

understand.\”

 

3. (C) Pansak then condemned the court verdict as crude and

undemocratic. In anatomical terms, he portrayed the ruling

as based on the physical orientation of the voter,s

buttocks. (Note: Pansak was referring to the ruling that,

because of the positioning of ballot boxes during the April 2

election, voters backs\’ were facing outward such that polling

officials and the general public could see how the ballot was

marked. End note.) He accused the opposition and the courts

of undermining democratic principles. Pansak noted that the

opposition chose to boycott the elections and, further, that

they took advantage of their democratic rights to campaign

actively against the election process. When that tactic

failed them, the opposition declared that the elections were

illegal.

 

4. Pansak suggested that it was time for the USG to make a

public statement about the \”regression of Thailand to a

quasi-monarchy\”. He argued that the US \”got the tablet from

God\” and the time is ripe to issue a \”subtle reminder\”

focusing on \”democratic principles\” and the dangers of

political manipulation of the court system. He further noted

that, \”when you talk to us, you talk to the Burmese Generals.

And they hear your silence.\”

 

INTERPRETING THE KING – YET ANOTHER VERSION

——————————————-

 

4. (C) Asked about the circumstances behind Thaksin,s

decision to step down as Prime Minister, Pansak accused a

small cabal of advisors in the palace of interpreting the

King,s words and actions to force Thaksin,s resignation.

He said that Privy Councilor Prem Tinsulanonda (whom Pansak

referred to as the \”Monarch, Jr.\”) was a key player in this

group. He said that Prem viewed Thaksin as an

\”inappropriate\” Prime Minister because he did not share

enough with the \”old power groups\” in Bangkok. He also

asserted that Prem rarely meets directly with the King.

 

5. (C) Pansak reaffirmed that Thaksin had intended to

withdraw from politics all along, but that he wanted to leave

in a credible, face-saving manner. When Thaksin told the

King, during their April 4 meeting, that he was willing to

resign, the King nodded and then ended the meeting. It was

only later that Thaksin received a phone call from one of the

King,s advisors telling him that the nod, meant that he

should resign immediately. Pansak lamented that \”Thaksin

took the King,s ephemeral statements too seriously\” and was

thus manipulated by the King,s advisors. Asked if he

thought Prem and his confederates were acting independent of

the monarch, Pansak said, \”Yes. The King is never that

explicit.\” Nevertheless, he noted, the outcome is favorable

for the King as it allows him to maintain plausible

deniability of any interference in the democratic process

while appearing as the stabilizing force in Thai democracy.

In the end, according to Pansak, \”whichever serf wins, he

will give credit to the King.\”

 

THAKSIN,S FUTURE

—————-

 

6. (C) Asked about Thaksin,s decision to resume his duties

as caretaker Prime Minister, Pansak said that his main

objective is to ensure a stable domestic economy. He noted

that Thaksin\’s livelihood depends on the Thai economy because

much of his wealth is held in Thai baht.

 

7. (C) He maintained that Thaksin will campaign as a Thai Rak

Thai party member in the upcoming election. Pansak said that

it is possible for Thaksin to come back to power even with

the current King on the throne. He said Thaksin will likely

run as a party member, leaving open the question of whether

he would accept the post of Prime Minister. In the end,

Pansak argued, Thaksin must return to power to solidify his

own integrity. Once back in power, he can leave on his own

terms and with his credibility intact.

YES, VIRGINIA, THERE IS A CABAL

——————————-

9. (C) COMMENT: Pansak,s confidence in Thaksin,s ability

to stay in power remains unwavering. His usual flair for

biting analysis laced with off-color commentary was subdued

(for him) during this meeting – perhaps a reflection of the

current cooling-off period between the main political

adversaries. His theory of a palace cabal acting independent

of the King sounds farfetched. But it is just the kind of

story that would salve Thaksin,s wounded ego and steel him

for the coming election campaign. End Comment.

 

10. DAS Eric John has not had the opportunity to clear on

this cable.

BOYCE

Written by thaicables

July 11, 2011 at 8:22 am

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: