thaicables – It's Your Right to know the Truth!

06BANGKOK5430 ELECTION COMMISSION SAYS: ELECTIONS SOON

leave a comment »

“77146″,”9/5/2006 10:54″,”06BANGKOK5430″,

 

“Embassy Bangkok”,”CONFIDENTIAL”,””,”VZCZCXRO1015

OO RUEHCHI RUEHDT RUEHHM RUEHNH

DE RUEHBK #5430/01 2481054

ZNY CCCCC ZZH

O 051054Z SEP 06

FM AMEMBASSY BANGKOK

TO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 1390

INFO RUCNASE/ASEAN MEMBER COLLECTIVE

RUEHCHI/AMCONSUL CHIANG MAI 2389

RHHMUNA/HQ USPACOM HONOLULU HI

RULSDMK/NSA US WASHDC

RUEAIIA/CIA WASHINGTON DC”,”C O N F I D E N T I A L

SECTION 01 OF 02 BANGKOK 005430

 

SIPDIS

 

SIPDIS

 

E.O. 12958: DECL: 09/04/2016

TAGS: PGOV, TH

SUBJECT: ELECTION COMMISSION SAYS: ELECTIONS SOON

 

REF: BANGKOK 5072 – THAI POL UPDATE: SCHISMS AND

 

UNCERTAINTIES

 

BANGKOK 00005430 001.2 OF 002

 

Classified By: Political Counselor Susan M. Sutton, Reasons 1.4 (B) (D)

 

1. (C) SUMMARY. In a meeting with Deputy Secretary-General

Prawing and Director Bunyakiat of the Election Commission of

Thailand (ECT), they predicted that the October 15 election

will not take place until the third week of November, at the

earliest, due to the delay in new Election Commissioners (EC)

selection. The two top-ranking ECT bureaucrats did not

defend the actions of the former EC in the previous April 2

election, and admitted that the Thai people may lack

confidence in the election process. They stipulated that

though there may not be any technical problems in the

upcoming elections, factors such as whether Thaksin will

declare his intentions to be PM again and the PAD\’s reaction

to it will complicate the process. They revealed that while

the Constitutional Court is currently facing pressure to hand

down a decision on whether the TRT and Democrat Party would

be dissolved before the election, they do not believe this

will take place because it would cause \”too big of a mess.\”

End summary.

 

ELECTION ADMINISTRATION 101

—————————

 

2. (SBU) PolCouns met with Deputy Secretary-General Prawing

and Director Bunyakiat of the ECT on September 5, 2006

regarding the status of the upcoming elections currently

scheduled for October 15 (Ref A). They confirmed that the

schedule for the new election would likely be changed by the

soon-to-be-selected Election Commissioners (EC). A special

Senate session to select the new EC expected for September

8-11, and a new commission could be in place by

mid-September. The two bureaucrats said that the re-election

may be delayed for at least a month in order to meet all the

administrative requirements. Prawing and Bunyakiat estimated

that the new elections will have to be postponed until the

third week of November, at the earliest. (Note:

Time-sensitive logistics such as candidate registration and

budget allocation cannot take place until the new EC is

formed. End note.)

 

A CRISIS OF CONFIDENCE

———————-

 

3. (C) While speaking about the April 2 elections and the

controversies that followed, the two bureaucrats made no

attempt to defend the actions of the old EC. They

distinguished that the EC is responsible for interpreting the

election laws and formulate policies while they, the

administrative side, only carry out the policies and \”oversee

the everyday management of the elections.\” They admitted

that some Thai may have lost faith in the election process

because of what happened in the last election. Prawing and

Bunyakiat agreed that this is why though they would like to

see the new election held as soon as possible to address the

current political impasse. At the same time, it would

necessarily have to be delayed if it were to hold any

legitimacy in the people\’s eyes.

 

COMPLICATING FACTORS

——————–

 

4. (C) Prawing and Bunyakiat indicated that, although they

foresee no technical issues to become a problem, two factors

may complicate the upcoming election: the question over

whether caretaker PM Thaksin will announce his intentions to

become prime minister again, and the People\’s Alliance for

Democracy (PAD)\’s reaction to Thaksin\’s decision. If Thaksin

remains coy on his future plans, the PAD may ramp up

anti-Thaksin activities leading up to the elections. When

asked about the court cases to dissolve both the

Thai-Rak-Thai (TRT) and Democrat Party for violating election

laws in the April 2 election, the two ECT officials admitted

that it would be a \”major problem\” if the parties were

dissolved prior to the elections. Technically, it would not

be difficult to handle, as the EC could just delay the

elections to give the homeless party members time to join

another party. (Note: Thai law demands that an individual

must be a member of a party for at least 90 days before he or

she can run on that party\’s ticket. End note.) However,

they both reiterated that elections should be held soon for

the sake of political and economic stability. They also

revealed that there is currently \”political pressure\” on the

 

BANGKOK 00005430 002.2 OF 002

 

Constitutional Court to hand down a decision on the party

dissolution cases prior to the elections, but they concluded

that this will not happen because it would create \”too big of

a mess\” for the EC.

BOYCE

About these ads

Written by thaicables

July 13, 2011 at 5:37 am

Posted in Confidential, Election

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 140 other followers

%d bloggers like this: